Rystad: US shale growth at risk as prices slump and policy bites

Rystad 2025 oil growth guidance at risk post-tariffs

Source: Rystad Energy.

Rystad Energy expects onshore Lower-48 production to fall short of the record high output of 11.37 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil, achieved in November 2023, until at least June of this year. However, this outlook faces serious downside pressure should the recent price downturn hold, forcing operators to cut back on rig activity.

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